{"id":36436,"date":"2023-07-18T08:57:28","date_gmt":"2023-07-18T00:57:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/?p=36436"},"modified":"2023-07-23T09:33:50","modified_gmt":"2023-07-23T01:33:50","slug":"spies-lies-and-algorithm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/?p=36436","title":{"rendered":"Spies, lies, and algorithm"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"668\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/damakey.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/711359452.005838-668x1024.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36437\" srcset=\"https:\/\/damakey.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/711359452.005838-668x1024.jpeg 668w, https:\/\/damakey.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/711359452.005838-196x300.jpeg 196w, https:\/\/damakey.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/711359452.005838-768x1177.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/damakey.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/711359452.005838-585x897.jpeg 585w, https:\/\/damakey.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/711359452.005838.jpeg 783w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 668px) 100vw, 668px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u57282014\u5e74\u76846\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684CIA(\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u90a6\u8abf\u67e5\u5c40)\u5728Tweet\u4e0a\u767c\u51fa\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e00\u7bc7\u8cbc\u6587\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We can neither confirm nor deny that this is our first tweet.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5443\u2026.&nbsp;\u50cfCIA\u9019\u7a2e\u641e\u60c5\u5831\u7684\u55ae\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u61c9\u8a72\u6108\u79d8\u5bc6\u6108\u597d\uff0c\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5728\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u9ad4\u4e0a\u958b\u4e86\u5e33\u865f\uff0c\u958b\u59cb\u8ddf\u516c\u773e\u4e92\u52d5\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe CIA\u2019s Tweeter debut was a light-hearted moment in a darkening landscape. New technologies such as artificial intelligence(AI), Internet connectivity, quantum computing, and synthetic biology are disrupting global economics and politics at unprecedented speed\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CIA\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u505a\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u898b\u4e0d\u5f97\u4eba\u7684\u52fe\u7576\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u5b83\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u4efb\u52d9\u5728\u65bc\u8490\u96c6\u4e26\u5206\u6790\u60c5\u5831\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f9b\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u5be6\u65bd\u8ecd\u4e8b\u8207\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u53c3\u8003\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u4e9b\u60c5\u5831\u662f\u4e0a\u9054\u5929\u807d\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u76f4\u63a5\u5448\u905e\u7d66\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CIA\u60c5\u5831\u54e1\u8207\u96fb\u5f71\u4e2d\u7684007\u662f\u5f88\u4e0d\u4e00\u6a23\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u771f\u6b63\u7684CIA\u60c5\u5831\u54e1\uff0c\u81f4\u529b\u65bc\u5438\u6536\u63a5\u8fd1\u91cd\u8981\u60c5\u5831\u7684\u4eba\u70ba\u7dda\u6c11\u3002\u60c5\u5831\u54e1\u81ea\u8eab\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u5c0f\u5fc3\u66dd\u9732\u4e86\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u8d70\u70ba\u4e0a\u7b56\uff0c\u5f88\u5c11\u50cf007\u60c5\u5831\u54e1\u90a3\u6a23\u6b63\u9762\u53c3\u8207\u5be6\u969b\u7684\u6230\u9b25\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u771f\u7684\u60c5\u4e0d\u5f97\u5df2\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u96a8\u8457\u8cc7\u8a0a\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u60c5\u5831\u662f\u52a0\u5bc6\u653e\u5728\u7db2\u8def\u4e0a\uff0c\u9019\u5c31\u4ee4\u50b3\u7d71\u4e0a\u501a\u91cd\u900f\u904e\u793e\u4ea4\u95dc\u4fc2\u5438\u6536\u7dda\u6c11\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u6709\u5176\u4fb7\u9650\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6548\u7387\u4e0d\u5f70\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Google\u53ef\u4ee5\u641c\u5c0b\u5230\u5f88\u591a\u6771\u897f\uff0c\u5728\u5404\u7a2e\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u9ad4\u7684App\u4e0a\u4e5f\u6703\u8fc5\u901f\u6d41\u901a\u5f88\u591a\u8cc7\u6599\u3002\u5728\u6578\u4f4d\u8cc7\u8a0a\u7684\u6642\u4ee3\uff0c\u8981\u7671\u7613\u5c0d\u624b\u7684\u96fb\u8def\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u53ea\u6d88\u99ed\u5165\u5c0d\u65b9\u7684\u96fb\u8166\uff1b\u800c\u5f9e\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u4e2d\uff0c\u8607\u4fc4\u900f\u904eFB\u7684\u5ba2\u6236\u8cc7\u6599\u7684\u5206\u6790\u50b3\u9001\u7cbe\u78ba\u8a0a\u606f\u4f86\u5f71\u97ff\u9078\u60c5\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u5728\u5728\u986f\u793a\uff0cCIA\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u80fd\u95dc\u8d77\u9580\u4f86\u8490\u96c6\u5206\u6790\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u800c\u5fc5\u9808\u8ddf\u5916\u754c\u9069\u5ea6\u7684\u6e9d\u901a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u800c\u7db2\u8def\u4e0a\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u554f\u984c\u662f\u592a\u591a\u4e86\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u6c92\u6709\u7528\u7684\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u5047\u6d88\u606f\u3002\u5b8c\u5168\u900f\u904e\u4eba\u4f86\u5206\u6790\u3001\u5224\u65b7\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u4efb\u52d9\u3002\u5728\u9019\u7a2e\u72c0\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u904b\u7528AI\u5c31\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6700\u65e9\u671f\u7684Internet\uff0c\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u8ecd\u65b9\u7684\u6280\u8853\u8f49\u70ba\u6c11\u7528\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6c11\u9593\u5728\u6578\u4f4d\u8cc7\u8a0a\u7684\u8edf\u786c\u9ad4\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u4e00\u98db\u6c96\u5929\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u53cd\u800c\u662f\u50cfGoogle\u3001Microsoft\u7b49\u5927\u79d1\u6280\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u64c1\u6709\u66f4\u5f37\u7684\u8edf\u786c\u9ad4\u3002\u6c11\u9593\u516c\u53f8\u80fd\u5920\u4ed8\u51fa\u7684\u8d85\u9ad8\u85aa\u916c\uff0c\u5438\u8d70\u4e86\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u5c16\u7aef\u79d1\u6280\u5c08\u696d\u4eba\u624d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5149\u57282018\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u670941\u4f4d\u5728AI\u9818\u57df\u4e2d\u6700\u512a\u79c0\u7684\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u96e2\u958b\u6559\u8077\u800c\u6295\u5165\u6c11\u9593\u4f01\u696d\u3002\u90fd\u8b93\u4eba\u61f7\u7591\u5728\u5b78\u6821\u88cf\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u9084\u6709\u8db3\u5920\u7684\u4eba\u4f86\u6559\u5c0e\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3AI\u5462\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u96fb\u8166\u786c\u9ad4\u4e0a\u9762\uff0cQuantum Computing(\u91cf\u5b50\u904b\u7b97)\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u8feb\u5207\u7684\u5a01\u8105\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u73fe\u4eca\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u662f\u900f\u904e\u8cea\u6578\u7684\u904b\u7b97\u4f86\u9054\u5230\u52a0\u5bc6\u7684\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8981\u53cd\u5411\u627e\u51fa\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u8cea\u6578\u4f86\u89e3\u5bc6\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5f88\u5f37\u5927\u7684\u904b\u7b97\uff0c\u4ee5\u7576\u4eca\u7684\u6280\u8853\u662f\u8fa6\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u52a0\u5bc6\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u662f\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u3002\u554f\u984c\u662f\uff0cQuantum Computing(\u91cf\u5b50\u904b\u7b97)\u7684\u8d85\u5f37\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5c07\u53ef\u4ee5\u89e3\u958b\u6240\u6709\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6f5b\u5728\u7684\u554f\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5f37\u570b\u90fd\u5728\u7814\u767cQuantum Computing(\u91cf\u5b50\u904b\u7b97)\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u96fb\u8166\u7684\u786c\u9ad4\u662f\u95dc\u9375\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u8981\u9650\u5236\u9ad8\u968e\u6676\u7247\u53ca\u5176\u88fd\u4f5c\u7684\u8a2d\u5099\u8ce3\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u6575\u5c0d\u7684\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u770b\u4f86\u662f\u6709\u5176\u6230\u7565\u4e0a\u7684\u6df1\u9060\u610f\u7fa9\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2003\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c43\u4efb\u7e3d\u7d71\u55ac\u6cbb\u00b7\u6c83\u514b\u00b7\u5e03\u5e0c(\u5c0f\u5e03\u5e0c)\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u6709\u201dmass destruction weapon\u201d(\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u6bc0\u6ec5\u6027\u6b66\u5668)\u70ba\u7531\uff0c\u63ee\u8ecd\u5165\u4fb5\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u5728\u4e94\u5e74\u5167\u4f30\u8a08\u9020\u6210\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b15\u81f3100\u842c\u8ecd\u6c11\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e8b\u5f8c\u806f\u5408\u570b\u5c0f\u7d44\u7684\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u767c\u73fe\u201dmass destruction weapon\u201d(\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u6bc0\u6ec5\u6027\u6b66\u5668)\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5c0f\u5e03\u5e0c\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u9760CIA\u63d0\u4f9b\u60c5\u5831\u7684\u3002CIA\u5728\u8490\u96c6\u548c\u5206\u6790\u201dmass destruction weapon\u201d(\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u6bc0\u6ec5\u6027\u6b66\u5668)\u8cc7\u6599\u4e0a\u6240\u72af\u4e86\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\uff0c\u53ef\u8b02\u662d\u7136\u82e5\u63ed\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f9e\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u5831\u5c0e\u770b\u4f86\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e5f\u6709\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u60c5\u5831\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u6216\u8a31\u4e5f\u6709\u53c3\u8003\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u50cf\u767c\u52d5\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u6230\u722d\u9019\u7b49\u5927\u4e8b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u501a\u91cd\u81ea\u5bb6CIA\u7684\u60c5\u5831\u5427\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u662f\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u7522\u6cb9\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5165\u4fb5\u6216\u8a31\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u8003\u91cf\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u986f\u7136CIA\u8a8d\u70ba\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u7576\u6642\u6709\u201dmass destruction weapon\u201d(\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u6bc0\u6ec5\u6027\u6b66\u5668)\uff0c\u662f\u60c5\u5831\u8490\u96c6\u548c\u5206\u6790\u4e0a\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u5931\u8aa4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e0d\u7ba1\u662f\u900f\u904e\u7dda\u6c11\u6216\u8005\u900f\u904e\u7db2\u8def\u7aca\u53d6\u5230\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u90fd\u5fc5\u9808\u8b39\u614e\u4ea4\u53c9\u6bd4\u5c0d\u548c\u5206\u6790\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u8b8a\u6210\u6709\u7528\u7684\u60c5\u5831\u3002\u800c\u900f\u904e\u4eba\u4f86\u5206\u6790\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6703\u53d7\u5230\u4e03\u7a2eBias(\u504f\u8aa4)\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">1. Confirmation Bias.&nbsp;\u53d7\u65e2\u6709\u8a8d\u77e5\uff0c\u5148\u5165\u70ba\u4e3b\u89c0\u5ff5\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cPeople tend to seek and latch on to information that confirms their pre-existing belief while avoiding, disregarding, or minimizing evidence that challenges them.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2. Optimism Bias.&nbsp;\u4eba\u504f\u5411\u81ea\u6211\u611f\u89ba\u7684\u826f\u597d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c\u2026people believe good events will happen to themselves more than others, that their own investments will outperform the average, that their favorite sports team has a higher chance of winning than actually does, and that their preferred presidential candidate will win even the polls say otherwise\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">3. Availability Bias.&nbsp;\u6191\u4e3b\u89c0\u5370\u8c61\u800c\u975e\u5ba2\u89c0\u8cc7\u6599\u63a8\u4f30\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cPeople are atrocious at understanding probabilities\u2026people naturally assume something they can easily recall is more likely to occur. The human brain confuses the availability of a past memory with the likelihood of its future occurrence\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">4. The Fundamental Attribution Error.&nbsp;\u5225\u4eba\u7684\u904e\u932f\u662f\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u500b\u6027\u504f\u5dee\u6240\u81f4\uff0c\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u904e\u932f\u5247\u662f\u5916\u5728\u74b0\u5883\u6240\u903c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c\u2026the tendency to believe that others behave badly because their personality while we ourselves behave badly because factors beyond our control\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">5. Mirror Imaging.&nbsp;\u8a8d\u70ba\u5225\u4eba\u6703\u548c\u81ea\u5df1\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u6703\u63a1\u53d6\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cMirror imaging is estimating how someone else will behave by projecting what you would do in the same situation.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">6. Farming Biases: The Trouble with Numbers and Words.&nbsp;\u6578\u5b57\u548c\u6587\u5b57\u7684\u89e3\u8b80\uff0c\u4eba\u8a00\u4eba\u6b8a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cDifferent people perceive the same numbers or words in very different ways.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">7 Groupthink.&nbsp;\u540c\u6eab\u5c64\u4e2d\u7684\u5718\u9ad4\u601d\u7dad\uff0c\u50be\u5411\u4e00\u8a00\u5802<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c\u2026it refers to a particular psychological pathology. When groupthink strikes, even smart, motivated, well-intentioned, rational individuals working in highly cohesive groups make poor collective decisions. How can this be? Because cohesion turns out to be a double-edged sword. The problem isn\u2019t that there\u2019s too much friction in the group. It\u2019s that there\u2019s too little.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u5728CIA\u60c5\u5831\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u54e1\u7684\u8a13\u7df4\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8981\u4f7f\u4ed6\u5011\u80fd\u5920\u6642\u6642\u63d0\u9192\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u5118\u53ef\u80fd\u907f\u514d\u524d\u8ff0\u7684\u504f\u8aa4\u3002\u53ef\u662f\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u7576\u5c40\u8005\u8ff7\uff0c\u504f\u8aa4\u5c31\u6240\u5728\u96e3\u514d\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CIA\u5728\u201dmass destruction weapon\u201d(\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u6bc0\u6ec5\u6027\u6b66\u5668)\u8cc7\u6599\u5206\u6790\u4e0a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u72af\u4e86\u524d\u8ff0\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u504f\u8aa4\u3002\u6839\u64da\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u60c5\u5831\u55ae\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c0d\u8a72\u9805\u60c5\u5831\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u611f\u5230\u7591\u616e\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u5f37\u70c8\u63d0\u51fa\u4f86\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0f\u5e03\u5e0c\u7e3d\u7d71\u6700\u5f8c\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u662f\u76f8\u4fe1\u4e86\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u6709\u201dmass destruction weapon\u201d(\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u6bc0\u6ec5\u6027\u6b66\u5668)!&nbsp;\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c7a\u7b56\u5c64\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u72af\u4e86Groupthink\uff0c\u540c\u6eab\u5c64\u4e2d\u5718\u9ad4\u601d\u7dad\u50be\u5411\u7684\u4e00\u8a00\u5802\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u504f\u8aa4\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2011\u5e74\uff0cCIA\u767c\u73fe\u5b83\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u60c5\u5831\u7db2\u8fc5\u901f\u74e6\u89e3\uff0c\u7dda\u6c11\u8981\u561b\u4e0d\u662f\u88ab\u6355\uff0c\u4e0d\u7136\u5c31\u662f\u88ab\u8f49\u8b8a\u6210\u70ba\u96d9\u9762\u8adc\u3002\u9664\u4e86CIA\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u60c5\u5831\u7db2\u4e2d\u7684\u8cc7\u6df1\u4eba\u54e1\u88ab\u6ef2\u900f\u6d89\u6709\u91cd\u5acc\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u767c\u73fe\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u60c5\u5831\u901a\u8a0a\u7cfb\u7d71\u7684\u9632\u706b\u7246\u6709\u6f0f\u6d1e\uff0c\u6839\u672c\u7121\u6cd5\u907f\u958b\u4e2d\u570b\u9ad8\u8d85\u3001\u56b4\u5bc6\u7684\u7db2\u8def\u76e3\u63a7\u7cfb\u7d71\u7684\u6cd5\u773c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u6578\u4f4d\u79d1\u6280\u4e16\u4ee3\u5c0d\u60c5\u5831\u55ae\u4f4d\u7684\u6311\u6230\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4eba\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8cc7\u8a0a\u662f\u653e\u5728\u7db2\u8def\u4e0a\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7cfb\u7d71\u6709\u758f\u5931\u6216\u8005\u5c0d\u65b9\u6709\u66f4\u5f37\u5927\u7684\u99ed\u5ba2\u6280\u8853\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u8f9b\u82e6\u4f48\u4e0b\u7684\u60c5\u5831\u7db2\u3001\u7dda\u4eba\uff0c\u90fd\u6703\u6bc0\u65bc\u4e00\u65e6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u800c\u81f3\u65bc\u8cc7\u6599\u7684\u7aca\u53d6\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u3001\u5169\u500b\u6a94\u6848\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7528giga bytes\u3001Tera bytes\u7684\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u8cc7\u6599\u5728\u5f88\u77ed\u7684\u5e7e\u79d2\u6216\u5e7e\u5206\u9418\u4e4b\u5167\uff0c\u5c31\u6703\u88ab\u5b8c\u5168\u53d6\u5f97\u3002\u6563\u5230\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u9ad4app\u6216\u5a92\u9ad4\uff0c\u5c07\u8fc5\u901f\u9020\u6210\u4e0d\u53ef\u6536\u62fe\u7684\u707d\u96e3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7db2\u8def\u7684\u653b\u64ca\uff0c\u662f\u5373\u6642\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5728\u4e8b\u524d\u6211\u5011\u7121\u5f9e\u5f97\u77e5\u8ab0\u6703\u7528\u4ec0\u9ebc\u65b9\u5f0f\u9032\u884c\u653b\u64ca\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u5c0d\u6297\u7db2\u8def\u7684\u653b\u64ca\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u9808\u4ff1\u5099\u53ca\u6642\u6027\u7684\u9ad8\u6df1\u79d1\u6280\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6839\u64da\u7d71\u8a08\uff0c\u6bcf2,500\u884c\u7684codes(\u7a0b\u5f0f\u78bc)\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u67091\u8655\u6709\u5f31\u9ede\u3002\u9019\u500b\u5f31\u9ede\uff0c\u5c31\u975e\u5e38\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u99ed\u5ba2\u5165\u4fb5\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8b6c\u5982\uff0cWindow-XP&nbsp;\u7d04\u67094000\u842c\u689dcodes\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u525b\u5beb\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u6f5b\u85cf1.6\u842c\u500b\u5f31\u9ede\u3002\u7528\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u8edf\u9ad4\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u6015\u5427\uff01\u99ed\u5ba2\u53ea\u6d88\u7a7f\u8d8a1\u500b\u7a0b\u5f0f\u7684\u5f31\u9ede\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u70ba\u6240\u6b32\u70ba\u5462\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cCyber threats are vastly different from traditional security threats, with profound implications for intelligence. In cyberspace, everyone is vulnerable. Adversaries steal, spy, disrupt, destroy, and deceive at speeds and scales unthinkable even a few years ago. Uncertainty abounds. Espionage, defense, and attack are hard to differentiated. Cyber weapons require global, persistent, real-time intelligence to work. It\u2019s a tall order\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7f8e\u570b2016\u5e74\u7684\u7e3d\u7d71\u5927\u9078\u9078\u6230\u4e2d\uff0cCIA\u65e9\u5c31\u5075\u6e2c\u5230\u8607\u4fc4\u652f\u6301\u5ddd\u666e\u7684\u52d5\u4f5c\u983b\u983b\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4ed6\u5011\u5b8c\u5168\u6c92\u6709\u6599\u5230\uff0c\u8607\u4fc4\u900f\u904e\u5206\u6790FB\u8cc7\u6599\u4e2d\u7684\u653f\u9ee8\u53d6\u5411\u800c\u767c\u9001\u91dd\u5c0d\u6027\u7684\u8a0a\u606f\uff0c\u5c45\u7136\u8f15\u6613\u6539\u8b8a\u4e86\u52e2\u921e\u529b\u6575\u7684\u5927\u9078\u7d50\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7576FB\u7684CEO\u7956\u514b\u67cf(Mark Zuckerberg)\u51fa\u5e2d\u570b\u6703\u807d\u8b49\u6703\uff0c\u56de\u7b54\u5ba2\u6236\u8cc7\u6599\u4fdd\u5bc6\u53ca\u8607\u4fc4\u900f\u904e\u5206\u6790FB\u5ba2\u6236\u8cc7\u6599\u5f71\u97ff\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u7684\u4e8b\u9805\u6642\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u7a81\u7136\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u65bc\u5c0d\u4e16\u754c\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u5546\u696d\u3001\u793e\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u751a\u9245\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u8b6c\u5982FB\uff0c\u5c45\u7136\u6240\u77e5\u751a\u5c11\u3002\u5f9e\u67d0\u4e9b\u767c\u554f\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u4ee5\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5c45\u7136\u6709\u8b70\u54e1\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u9ad4\u3001\u96fb\u5b50\u90f5\u4ef6\u3001\u52a0\u5bc6\u8a0a\u606f\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u5dee\u5225\u5462\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u57282020\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u8b70\u54e1\u7684\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u6709210\u4f4d\u662f\u5f8b\u5e2b\u4f46\u53ea\u670932\u4f4d\u662f\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u3002\u800c\u5728\u53c3\u8b70\u54e1\u5247\u53ea\u67093\u4f4d\u662f\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u80cc\u666f\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u8b70\u54e1\u5c0d\u6700\u65b0\u8cc7\u8a0a\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u4e0d\u719f\u6089\uff0c\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u50cf\u7684\u3002\u90a3\u9ebc\u600e\u9ebc\u80fd\u5920\u767c\u63ee\u76e3\u7763\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u5462\uff1f\u570b\u6703\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8d95\u4e0d\u4e0a\u77fd\u8c37\u90a3\u4e9b\u79d1\u6280\u65b0\u5275\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u6f5b\u5728\u5371\u6a5f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ee5encryption(\u52a0\u5bc6)\u70ba\u4f8b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u57282013\u5e74\uff0cEdward Snowden\uff0c\u5176\u70baCIA\u8077\u54e1\uff0cNSA\u5916\u5305\u6280\u8853\u54e1\uff0c\u56e0\u62ab\u9732\u7a1c\u93e1\u8a08\u5283\u76e3\u807d\u5c08\u6848\uff0c\u800c\u88ab\u901a\u7ddd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Apple\u3001Google\u3001Yahoo\u7b49\u5927\u79d1\u6280\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u5728\u5f97\u77e5\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u81f4\u529b\u65bc\u7528\u66f4\u5f37\u5927\u7684\u96fb\u8166\u7834\u89e3\u4ed6\u5011\u5ba2\u6236\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u83ab\u4e0d\u52a0\u5f37\u4e86\u52a0\u5bc6\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2015\u5e74\uff0c\u767c\u751f\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u52a0\u5dde\uff0c\u6b7b\u4e8614\u4eba\u7684\u8056\u8c9d\u7d0d\u8fea\u8afe\u69cd\u64ca\u6848\uff0c\u7576FBI\u8981\u6c42Apple\u516c\u53f8\u89e3\u958b\u5147\u5acciPhone\u88cf\u52a0\u5bc6\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u6642\uff0c\u88abApple\u516c\u53f8\u65b7\u7136\u62d2\u7d55\u4e86\u3002\u5f8c\u4f86FBI\u662f\u627e\u4f86\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u91cd\u6848\u5c08\u696d\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u99ed\u5165\u8a72\u624b\u6a5f\u624d\u53d6\u5f97\u8cc7\u6599\u5462\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u73fe\u5728\u662fApple\u516c\u53f8\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fdd\u8b77\u6211\u5011\u5728iPhone\u4e0a\u52a0\u5bc6\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u96a8\u8457Quantum computing(\u91cf\u5b50\u904b\u7b97)\u7684\u9577\u8db3\u9032\u6b65\uff0c\u6216\u8a31\u5728\u5e7e\u5341\u5e74\u5167\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u65b9\u6cd5\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u89e3\u5bc6\u4e86\u5462\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u76ee\u524dGoogle\u3001Microsoft\u3001IBM\u5728Quantum computing(\u91cf\u5b50\u904b\u7b97)\u7684\u9032\u5c55\u62d4\u5f97\u982d\u7c4c\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0a\u9762\u6709\u9245\u91cf\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u6015\u5427\uff01\u6211\u5c31\u60f3\uff0c\u6216\u8a31\u9ad8\u968e\u6676\u7247\u7684\u8f38\u51fa\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6e1b\u7de9\u4e2d\u570b\u5728Quantum computing(\u91cf\u5b50\u904b\u7b97)\u4e0a\u7684\u9032\u5c55\u3002\u800c\u5982\u679c\u70cf\u4fc4\u6230\u722d\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u8607\u4fc4\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u529b\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u5a01\u8105\u77ed\u671f\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u6703\u5f9e\u90a3\u88cf\u4f86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u60f3\u5230\u9019\u4e9b\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u53f8\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c(\u5982CIA)\uff0c\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5c07\u5927\u5bb6\u52a0\u5bc6\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u770b\u900f\u900f\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5920\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703(\u4eba\u6c11)\uff0c\u7121\u6cd5\u8ddf\u4e0a\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u9032\u6b65\uff0c\u53ca\u6642\u5236\u5b9a\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u76f8\u95dc\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u7121\u6cd5\u5bc6\u5207\u76e3\u7ba1\u5c46\u6642\u4ec0\u9ebc\u90fd\u770b\u5f97\u5230\u7684CIA\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u6b0a\u529b\u4e00\u65e6\u88ab\u6feb\u7528\u4e86\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u53ef\u80fd\u8b8a\u6210\u4e16\u754c\u8d85\u5f37\u7684\u65b0\u96c6\u6b0a\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u8ab0\u8aaa\u7d55\u5c0d\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uff1aAmy B. Zegart, Spies, lies, and algorithm, 2022, Princeton University Press<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2023\/7\/18 Spies, lies, and algorithm Damakey<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u57282014\u5e74\u76846\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684CIA(\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u90a6\u8abf\u67e5\u5c40)\u5728Twee&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36436","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-3"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36436","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=36436"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36436\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36438,"href":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36436\/revisions\/36438"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=36436"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=36436"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/damakey.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=36436"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}